More Feb. 5 state polls coming in in rapid fashion.  Let's try to dissect them and, with 10 days to go for the 22+ state extravaganza, let's use these polls as starting points to see movement until Feb. 5:

CALIFORNIA

Let's start off with California, the biggest prize of them all.  

The PPIC poll shows a 15% Clinton edge in the state.

http://www.ppic.org/content/pubs/survey/ S_108MBS.pdf

Likely voters

Clinton 43%
Obama 28%
Edwards 11%

Findings:

Amongst self-professed liberals:

Clinton 41%
Obama 27%
Edwards 12%

Gender gap:

Amongst women:

Clinton 48%
Obama 26%
Edwards 8%

Amongst men:

Clinton 35%
Obama 30%
Edwards 15%

Hillary continues to do well in California.  Edwards has not gained traction as of yet.  According to this Obama and Clinton are right on the cusp of important thresholds (the 30% and 45% thresholds.)  If, as it looks, Clinton wins California, it will be interesting to see who can reach the thresholds to gain extra delegates.

GOP:

McCain 29%
Romney 17%
Giuliani 10%
Huckabee 10%

If this holds, McCain will get a major leg up on the competition with a California delegate boost.  

MISSOURI

2 polls out today for Missouri.

Rasmussen - Missouri:

Clinton 43%
Obama 24%
Edwards 18%
Not sure 5%

Hillary Clinton enjoys a nineteen percentage point lead over Barack Obama in Missouri's Democratic Presidential Primary. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the state shows Clinton earning 43% of the vote while Obama attracts 24%. John Edwards trails Obama by six points and is supported by 18% of the state's Likely Democratic Presidential Primary Voters.

Gender gap:

Clinton leads by 28-percentage points among women but just seven points among men.

Good favorability ratings for Hillary:

The former First Lady is viewed favorably by 82% of those likely to vote. Obama earns positive reviews from 69%.

Eighty-three percent (83%) of Missouri's Democratic Primary Voters believe Clinton is at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated. That figure includes 51% who believe she is Very Likely to defeat a Republican challenger in November. Seventy-six percent (76%) believe that Obama would be at least somewhat likely to emerge victorious in the general election.

Most important issues to Democrats:

In Missouri, 89% of Democratic Primary Voters consider the economy to be a Very Important issue. Eighty-five percent (85%) say the same about Health Care while 71% see Government Ethics and Corruption as that high a priority. Sixty-one percent (61%) see the War in Iraq as that important.

This finding confirms two other polls we have seen recently.  As for the most important issues, Democrats have shifted away from Iraq somewhat:

1. Economy

2. Health Care
   
3. Change in government
   
4. Iraq

Clinton looks very formidable in Missouri, despite McCaskill throwing her support behind Obama.

Research 2000 - Missouri

http://research2000.us/

Clinton 44%, Obama 31%, Edwards 18%

Note:  The R-2000 site does not have the poll available at this point to look at internals.  They probably just reported the horserace numbers so far.  I will update when I get my hands on the pdf.

MASSACHUSETTS

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollRepo rt.aspx?g=b8837d05-481b-4f85-b88b-21427a 447690

Clinton 59%
Obama 22%
Edwards 11%
Undecided 6%

Somewhat of a gender gap:

Men: Hillary 48%, Obama 25%, Edwards 15%

Women: Hillary 66%, Obama 20%, Edwards 8%

ILLINOIS

A new IL poll shows Obama leading by 29% in his home state:

Research 2000 Obama 51, Clinton 22, Edwards 15

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/ 2008/president/il/illinois_democratic_pr imary-351.html

No link to the actual data is given

ALABAMA

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_conte nt/politics/election_20082/2008_presiden tial_election/alabama/alabama_democratic _presidential_primary

Hillary Clinton 43%
Barack Obama 28%
John Edwards 16%

While the nation is focused on the upcoming Democratic Primary in South Carolina, Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama by fifteen percentage points in Alabama's Democratic Presidential Primary.

It's Clinton 43% Obama 28% and John Edwards a distant third at 16%.

A bit of a surprise, since Alabama was said to be one of the few Feb. 5 states Obama was supposed to have an advantage over Clinton in.  If these numbers are correct, that may not be the case.

In patterns that have become familiar in the Democratic campaign, Clinton does much better in Alabama among women and white voters while Obama does better among men and African-Americans (see national data).

In Alabama, Clinton leads by nineteen points among women and just seven points among men. She trails among African-Americans by a two-to-one margin but leads 58% to 9% among white voters (Edwards picks up 24% of the white vote).

An obvious gender gap, and also a racial divergence notiecable here.  

Among Likely Democratic Primary Voters, Clinton is viewed favorably by 76%, Edwards by 66%, and Obama by 62%.

There is a strong favorability gap here with Obama only showing a 62% favorability to Hillary's 76%.  That is bad news for Obama, as he must be seen more favorably by voters in AL than Hillary to catch her.  

Eighty-one percent (81%) believe that Clinton would be at least somewhat likely to win the White House if nominated. That figure includes 48% who say that Clinton is Very Likely to win in November.

Sixty-one percent (61%) say Obama is at least somewhat likely to win if nominated. Twenty-nine percent (29%) believe he would be Very Likely to win.

Eighty-nine percent (89%) of Alabama's Likely Democratic Primary voters say that the economy is a Very Important voting issue. Eighty-six percent (86%) say the same about Health Care. Government ethics and corruption is Very Important to 72% while 65% say the same about Iraq.

Note:  I think the approval ratings gap between Clinton and Obama in both Rasmussen polls, the one in Missouri and the one on Alabama, with Missouri showing Clinton at 82% and Obama at 69% and Alabama showing Clinton at 76% and Obama at 62% suggests that there may be a backlash against Obama in both of these states.  It remains to be seen how the respective approval ratings for Clinton and Obama are in other states to get a feel for how Feb. 5 states feel about the Obama vs. Clinton fighting.  In those two states at lest, according to these numbers, Obama may be getting the brunt of the blame for the brouhaha.