This is a candidate supporter diary
With this the last installment of the candidate diary series before Christmas (I will be assembling bikes and toys on Christmas eve instead of blogging) let's jump right into the issues I would like to focus on:
1. "Comeback trail"

A somewhat welcome development has been the media narrative that Obama is said to be the new frontrunner, the guy surging everywhere, etc. Going with the common media narrative that Obama is surging ahead and that he is now the frontrunner while Hillary Clinton has fallen flat on her face, we are seeing a resurgence of sorts in recent days. Part of that is obviously due to the fact that the desired media narrative does not reflect reality, so we are seeing movement that appears to completely contradict the current theme, but that is to be expected, since the "real" state of affairs is not nearly as Obama-friendly and Hillary-averse as is being portrayed. The other part is that Obama has been thrust into this new role and is receiving a lot more scrutiny than before, with the expected result being that it is hurting him in recent days. The question becomes whether Obama may have peaked too soon, that now Clinton can become the "comeback kid II" with her 99 county helicop-tour of Iowa, and new polling reflecting somewhat of an upswing for Clinton as a result of the recent closer Obama viewing and her own efforts.

Latest polling evidence may be showing a Clinton recovery
Nationally, Hillary Clinton is on the upswing, as can be observed in the RCP averages graph here:
The two most recent polls, the USA Gallup poll and ARG, show Clinton at just about 20% margin to Obama's showing. The Rasmussen polling also shows a Clinton recovery of sorts, now putting her numbers back above the 40% mark and the margin to Obama going back up towards the mid-teens. These latest results differ from other numbers we had seen, and suggest that Clinton is recovering on the national level, which spells not-so-good news for Obama. The national polls are important for the Feb. 5 states, and should pretty much stay on this level if the candidates split the early states (in other words, neither candidates wins all 6 early states, but the states split up) and should then remain the same as they have been moving into Feb. 5 and the primaries/caucuses for the 20 states on that day.
State polling:
Iowa is all knotted up, but encouraging for Clinton is that Rasmussen is showing Clinton ahead in the state, and more importantly, she also has strong support already (whereas the other candidates' support is softer at this point.) Another poll, the Quad City Times poll, shows a different picture, with Obama looking strong, and a discrepancy of 12% between the 2 polls. Still, most people would probably trust the Rasmussen numbers over Quad City, due to the notoriety of the pollster involved here. Also, the simultaneous Hotline poll is showing an exact tie, further suggesting that the Quad City Times poll may be off.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/ 2008/president/ia/iowa_democratic_caucus -208.html
New Hampshire polling is interesting with the last 4 polls showing a somewhat conflicted picture. The last poll to be released out of New Hampshire shows Clinton ahead by 9%, which, if confirmed by future polling, would suggest somewhat of a Clinton recovery in New Hampshire.
http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/FOX_ NH-2_DEC_RELEASE_WEB.pdf
South Carolina is showing a very similar picture to what we just saw out of New Hampshire. After polls narrowing, the last poll showed a healthy jump for Clinton to an 8% lead from the previous tied polling we have seen:
It feels as if Clinton may be turning her numbers around in South Carolina and New Hampshire, if the last polls are any guides. We'll see. Iowa appears to be totally knotted up, and I personally like that Obama is now being declared the favorite in the state. We may actually get to see declarations of "Comeback Kid II" before this is over.
New polls out for California and Florida show unchanged and extremely strong for Clinton,which underscores that Clinton's national performance has not been effected much at all, going into the homestretch of the campaigns.
2. DesMoines Register endorsement
A lot has been written about the DesMoines Register endorsement, it has been long-awaited and thoroughly blogged on this site. Let me just say that I regard this endorsement as rather important. I have always believed that in the end Hillary Clinton will win Iowa, and my contention is strengthened, as many who are undecided at this late stage take their cues from their daily newspaper's endorsements, friends and families opinions, etc.
Here the newspaper's announcement:
http://desmoinesregister.com/apps/pbcs.d ll/article?AID=/20071215/NEWS/71215016
and explanation:
http://desmoinesregister.com/apps/pbcs.d ll/article?AID=/20071215/NEWS/71215018
Key quote:
"The times demand results. We believe as president she'll do what she's always done in her life: Throw herself into the job and work hard. We believe Hillary Rodham Clinton can do great things for our country."
3. "The Hillary I know"
Interesting website unveiled today: http://www.thehillaryiknow.com/
As this is a growing diary style site, it should be interesting to see it develop and grow. I enjoyed the human aspects of these stories. It puts bare the true essence of Hillary Clinton, which is as a never tiring advocate for children, minorities, disadvantaged and disabled.
Here is Hillary's latest TV ad for Iowa, which focuses on the DesMoines Register endorsement:
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