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Re: Clinton Obama (none / 0)

I don't buy that argument.
I've heard it in various ways throughout this election but it assumes that turn out is up because of Obama.
We can't know what would have happened if he decided not to run, but we do know some things. Youth participation has been rising and tending democratic. That Bush managed to energize his base and really bring them out masked that to an extent in 2004 but couldn't in 2006 nor would it have happened this cycle.
You are arguing that the increase in voting in Obama's demographics are because of Obama. Another argument could be that Obama is doing so well because his demographics are increasing their vote. I happen to think it is more of the latter than the former. I expect that without Obama in the race Edwards and Clinton would have picked up most that vote. I also expect that Edwards leading a children's crusade would have made the this a much more progressive campaign.
by Judeling on Tue Feb 05, 2008 at 01:39:06 AM EST
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